AI · Studies · 2026-09-09 17:32:00
Cliodynamics researcher Peter Turchin argues two forces shape our future: polycrisis, which history shows how to survive, and technological evolution, especially AI, which worries him most. Citing a friend's argument that AI "speciation" into a new life form is inevitable, he still believes humans are reasonably safe for 5-10 years. His hands-on use of Claude and ChatGPT shows AI is both impressive and still stupid in many ways, so he advises writers never to let AI generate first drafts. He also reviews an AI-assisted compendium of the journal Cliodynamics, praising its bird's-eye view while noting AI hallucinations. He concludes that human-machine collaboration, racing with rather than against machines, may postpone AI doom.
Source: peterturchin.substack.com
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